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Dr. Francisco Cristovão Lourenço de Melo: Graduate in Materials Engineering at Universidade Federal de São Carlos (UFSCar), Brazil, Doctor. in Nuclear Engineering at Universidade de São Paulo (USP), Brazil. Currently, Senior Researcher at the Institute of Aeronautics and Space (IAE), Brazil, and manager of the Prospecta project at IAE.

Technological Forecasting

Francisco Cristovão Lourenço de Melo


In the Information Age, the perception of time is more open and flexible, so the contemporary focus on forecasting to determine what is possible and desirable, which is a far more complex task, requires a range of methods. Studying the future is not simply an economic projection or sociological analysis or technological forecasting, but a multi-disciplinary examination of change in all major areas of life to find the interacting dynamics that are creating the next age. The objective of this short course is to present the methodologies, methods and techniques used in Technological Forecasting, as well as the experiments of Brazilian (national) and international prospective studies with an emphasis in ceramics sector, aimed at implementing an organized, selective and permanent process of capturing, external and internal data and information, analyzing them and converting them into knowledge to reduce risk in decision-making, and also to be able to anticipate changes.

  • Introduction to Technological Forecasting
  • Trend Impact Analysis
  • SWOT Analysis
  • The Delphi Method
  • Scenarios
  • S&T Road Mapping

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